Shree Hanuman Sugar & Industries Limited (SHSIL) presents one of the most challenging and high-risk profiles in the Indian stock market. This analysis provides a stark look at the long-term potential—and immense pitfalls—of investing in a century-old company now facing severe financial distress. We will navigate through speculative price targets, dissect alarming fundamentals, and outline the near-impossible conditions required for any recovery.
Table of Contents
Company Snapshot
- Founded: 1932 (One of India’s oldest sugar mills)
- Headquarters: Kolkata, West Bengal
- Core Business: Manufacture of white crystal sugar and molasses
- Operational Status: NON-OPERATIONAL (Sugar mill in Motihari, Bihar, closed since at least 2021-22)
- Key Challenge: Sustained financial losses, negative net worth, and an uncertain path to revival.
Shree Hanuman Sugar Share Price Forecast 2026-2050
| Year | Projected Price Range (₹) | Basis of Projection & Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ₹5.00 – ₹6.38 | Based on short-term technical analysis and machine learning models. Reflects a stagnant, low-volume trading range with high downside risk. |
| 2027 | ₹6.85 – ₹13.40 | Extreme variance. The upper bound assumes a sudden, news-driven speculative surge (e.g., rumors of a buyout). The lower bound is more aligned with current trends. |
| 2030 | ₹9.00 – ₹9.14 | Long-term algorithmic “drift” projection. Suggests the market may assign a marginally higher price for its dormant asset value over a long period. |
| 2040 | Not Modelable | Valuation would be binary: either zero (liquidation) or a significant premium (if a viable business is resurrected). No linear model can apply. |
| 2050 | Not Modelable | A 30-year horizon is pure speculation. The company may not exist in its current form. |
Interpretation of Targets
- 2026-2027 (The Speculative Zone): Prices are dictated by trader sentiment and micro-cap volatility, not business performance.
- 2030+ (The Asset-Value Horizon): Any positive price relies entirely on the market’s perception of its latent asset value (land, factory, licenses).
- The “Binary” Long-Term Outcome: By 2040-2050, the investment outcome will likely be definitive:
- Scenario A (Wipeout): The company is liquidated. Shareholder value is zero.
- Scenario B (Liftoff): A successful acquisition or restart transforms the business. Share price could re-rate dramatically, but this is a low-probability event.
Financial Health of Shree Hanuman Sugar
Key Fundamental Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Current Market Price | ~₹4.91 |
| Market Capitalization | ~₹9.3 Crores |
| Price-to-Earnings (P/E) | Negative (e.g., -8.50) |
| Book Value Per Share | Negative (e.g., -₹23.42) |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | Negative |
| Recent Revenue | Effectively ₹0 Crores |
Shareholding Pattern:
| Category | Holding (%) |
|---|---|
| Promoters | 15.16% |
| Domestic Institutional Investors (DII) | 0.02% |
| Foreign Institutional Investors (FII) | 0.00% |
| Public & Others | 84.82% |
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Is Shree Hanuman Sugar a good long-term investment for my portfolio?
No, for the vast majority of investors. It is a very high-risk, speculative bet akin to gambling on a corporate resurrection. It is unsuitable for those seeking growth, income, or capital preservation. It should only be considered, if at all, by those who fully understand the risk of total loss and can dedicate capital they are prepared to lose entirely.
Where can I trade this stock?
It is listed solely on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) under the symbol HANSUGAR. Trading volumes are often very low.
Final Thoughts
Shree Hanuman Sugar & Industries is not a typical investment opportunity. It is a deep-value trap or a lottery ticket on a corporate revival, depending on one’s perspective.
- For the Cautious Investor: This stock is untouchable. The combination of negative book value, operational shutdown, and lack of promoter alignment represents an unacceptable risk profile.
- For the Speculator: Any investment should be sized as a pure gamble, with the clear understanding that the most likely outcome is a 100% loss of capital. The “upside” scenarios in the price table are low-probability events.
DISCLAIMER
This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It highlights a severe case study in investment risk. The share price projections are speculative models, not reliable forecasts. Shree Hanuman Sugar & Industries Ltd. exhibits multiple characteristics of a financially distressed company with a high probability of value erosion. Investing in this stock carries an extreme risk of total capital loss. YOU MUST CONSULT A SEBI-REGISTERED FINANCIAL ADVISOR and undertake exhaustive independent research before any consideration. The author and publisher assume no liability for any financial decisions made based on this content.